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Bernie's Path to Victory in Milwaukee

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Labor Day has come and past, it's time to pull out the backsides of envelopes and look at the Bernie campaign's path to victory. First and foremost it's not really about winning states (especially with Democratic races being proportionally awarded). It's not about the sliver of margin in this or that. If we want Bernie to be president it's about getting one thing after the blood, sweat, and tears: a 50 percent plus one on a roll call vote at the national Democratic Convention. This Convention will be a different beast from those of the past. Sure the spectacle and mind-numbing repetition of speeches and calculated enthusiasm of a major party convention will likely be the same. The core spectacle, electing the presidential nominee, is likely to be something we haven't seen for a very long time in this country. It is extremely likely for the first time since 1952 with Aldai Stevenson that there will be a “contested” (or “brokered”) convention.